2022 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: Belfast, Coda, Don’t Look up, Drive My Car, Dune, King Richard, Licorice Pizza, Nightmare Alley, Power of the Dog, West Side Story

Best Picture

Will Win: “Coda”

Should Win: “Drive My Car”

Did Win” “Coda”

 

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

As I see it, every one of the Best Picture films deal with the topic of “bullying,” in one form or another.

Because that is what the world is dealing with right now, on the personal level and on the world stage.

My personal Best Picture pick is between “Drive My Car” and “Coda.” Both films demonstrate emotional generosity.

Each of these two films present a solution to the topic of bullying and self-interest.

“Coda” shows me the personal solution.  It demonstrates a loving, loyal family that overcomes hardships together, with the highest possible outcome for all concerned.

But “Drive My Car,” slightly wins, in my opinion, because it is able to see the problem from an empathetic view that is deeply personal and can be applied to the world arena.

My “Best Picture” pick is “Drive My Car.”  As the title suggests, am I able to drive someone else’s car?

“Drive My Car” encourages me to put myself in the place of the bullied, without judgement, but with a positive solution.

 

“Belfast”

“Belfast,” Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas, producers

Trailer:

BELFAST Trailer 2 (2021) Jamie Dornan, Judi Dench, Drama Movie – Bing video

Wiki:

Belfast (film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

The bullies in “Belfast” are the Protestants against the Catholics. 

We are called to identify with a Protestant family, who do not hate Catholics.

When their position is revealed, they are bullied out of town, but they forget to take granny, whose husband has just passed away.

What is going on here?  Does the family really think that granny can fend for herself? 

Leaving granny behind was even more upsetting, to me, than the 1969 riots.

In “Belfast”, the bullied family just makes a run for it, leaving an elderly grandmother behind.

Major demerits in my book.  Not my favorite film.

 

“CODA”

“CODA,” Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, producers

Trailer:

CODA Trailer (2021) Drama Movie – Bing video

Wiki:

CODA (2021 film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

I knew that “Coda” was going to be good, when I went to see it, but I was not expecting it to be “that” good.

I have to admit that I was left completely choked up by its ending. 

Emilia Jones plays Ruby Rossi, the only hearing member of a deaf family. 

She is not your ordinary teen. 

Because of her unusual circumstances, she is encouraged to be a strong voice for her family at an early age.

At school, Ruby is bullied for having a deaf family background. 

Bullies like to think that they are better than someone else. 

So Ruby is made to feel ashamed of her very loving family.

“Coda” champions the deaf and also the selfless teachers out there.

Even though the music teacher is from Mexico, it did not have the world changing aspect that I found in “Drive My Car.”

So “Coda” comes in second, but is first in emotional generosity, that is innocently over-whelming.

 

“Don’t Look Up

“Don’t Look Up,” Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, producers

Trailer:

DON’T LOOK UP | Official Teaser Trailer | Netflix – Bing video

Wiki:

Don’t Look Up – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

“Don’t Look Up” is full of bullies, who resist the truth, think only of themselves, and wallow in their own ideas of superiority, no matter what.

This film is about human stupidity and being in denial, even in moon-sized impending disaster.

The bullies are completely frozen in their lack of human empathy for others, their flawed choices and in their delayed action.

Here we have a scientist, who betrays his own wife, and a President, who forgets all about her own son.

These are the kind of people who will throw you a water bottle, or a roll of paper towels, just to pretend that they care.

Bullies are unable to process the concept that what they do to others, they do to themselves.

 

“Drive My Car”

“Drive My Car,” Teruhisa Yamamoto, producer

Trailers:

Drive My Car Trailer #1 (2021) | Movieclips Indie – Bing video

Drive My Car (2021) | Trailer | Hidetoshi Nishijima | Toko Miura | Masaki Okada – Bing video

Wiki:

Drive My Car (film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

An emotionally ill mother, or an unfaithful spouse, are sources of emotional abuse, which are also forms of bullying.

Bullying has many forms, and “Drive My Car” exposes these two types of bullying.

A renowned actor is trying to heal from his wife’s death and a young female driver is also trying to heal from her mother’s death.

They both feel guilty that they are relieved that the abuse is over.

In this film, they meet by divine appointment to heal each other.

As victims, neither were able to confront the bullies in their lives, which renders them both unfit for intimate relationships.

A healthy relationship requires trust and honest communication.

Bullies use and manipulate others, even their own mates and children.

“Drive My Car” is my number one choice, because it shows the way for the bullied to heal and to learn from others in a life-affirming way.

The actor is invited to direct a Russian play in a way that incorporates diversity of talent, different languages, and even sign language.

His young driver is about the same age as his own daughter would have been, so he treats her like he would his own daughter.

She responds to his fatherly nurturing and is able to realize that not everyone is cruel.

Together they are able to process their emotions and predicaments in a positive way.

By the end of this three-hour film, the viewer also realizes what several world playwrights are trying to say in their plays.

We are here to help and to heal each other, which starts with ourselves and our own families.

On the world arena, kindness, communication and positive action is what is going to save the planet.

Since no one is without guilt, judgement is futile.

 

“Dune”

“Dune,” Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter, producers

Trailer:

DUNE – FINAL TRAILER – Bing video

Wiki:

Dune (2021 film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

“Dune” is a magnificent, futuristic story that after two and a half hours, turns out to be only half the story.

If this is our future, then mankind has not learned much.

Mankind is still trying to exploit and bully others, be it on an inter-planet level.

In “Dune”, planetary invaders attempt to keep the defeated population in a state of servitude, while the spice of the planet is exploited.

Are we still on the same track of “might is right?”

Like in the country of Ukraine, the Arrakis people know the terrain and know how to survive in their own desert habitat.

I am hoping that in part two, we are shown how desert power and psychic power are able to defeat brute power.

I am also hoping that the bullies are taught a permanent lesson of respect.

 

“King Richard”

“King Richard,” Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith, producers

Trailer:

KING RICHARD Trailer 2 (2021) – Bing video

Wiki:

King Richard (film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

“King Richard” depicts how a whole societal environment can be the bully.

In America, if you are born Black, you are automatically a target for bullies. 

Like the deaf family in “Coda”, the Williams family in “King Richard” stick together and support each other, no matter what.

Blacks are kept in their place through economic and educational disadvantage.

This is a blended family, where all the children are girls.

Richard’s wife, Brandy came with three daughters from a previous marriage, and together they have two more girls, Venus and Serena.

They live in Compton, CA, where he is a security guard and she is a nurse, trying to raise all their daughters.

Both Richard and Brandy were athletes, so they do have some knowledge to pass on to their daughters.

Together, this husband-and-wife team groom their two youngest daughters to be tennis pros.

The way up is full of societal land mines that apply to the bullied segment of society.

As a family, they insist that all their daughters are going to get the best education possible, while Venus and Serena are being groomed for tennis stardom.

Richard and Brandy are extremely protective and sensitive to anything that might harm their daughters in a racist societal environment.

Not only is society racist, but their next-door neighbors are racist, not to mention the landmines of gangs and drugs in Compton.

I found this film extremely inspiring for everyone, not just if you were born Black.

 

“Licorice Pizza”

“Licorice Pizza,” Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson, producers

Trailer:

Trailer: ‘Licorice Pizza’ – Bing video

Wiki:

Licorice Pizza – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

Anyone can be a victim of bullying.  Usually, there is some physical trait that can make one a victim.

In “Licorice Pizza”, that physical identifier is that you are the weaker sex.

Twenty-five-year-old Alana Kane meets 15-year-old actor Gary Valentine.

In this particular case, she has ten years of experience that puts her at an advantage.

Alana is a smart young female living in a male dominated culture.

In this environment, she is not rewarded for being smart, nor is she seen as an equal to a man.

She is rewarded for her sexual attributes, period.

Here, a fifteen-year-old male, is offered more advantages than she was at his age.

Love is almost impossible to achieve in this kind of an environment.

Alana Kane (Alana Haim) and as Gary Valentine (Cooper Hoffman) do eventually find love and friendship.

This occurs through their constant interest and involvement in each other’s activity, acting, water bed and pin ball businesses, and politics.

If I were to sum it all up, “Licorice Pizza” is about the politics of love.

 

“Nightmare Alley”

“Nightmare Alley,” Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper, producers

Trailer:

NIGHTMARE ALLEY Trailer 3 (2021) – Bing video

Wiki:

Nightmare Alley (2021 film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

Socio-psychopaths are another form of bully, who will actually kill you in order to advance themselves.

(Spoiler alert)  Drifter Stan Carlisle and psychologist Dr. Lilith Ritter, in the film, are both socio-psychopaths.

Stan and Lilith prefer to secretly kill their victims.  They are completely lacking in empathy and feelings. 

The question is, are socio-psychopaths born or made?

Stan kills three people during the course of this film; five, if you count the suicide.

Lilith likes to psychoanalyze her victims, so she can effectively identify their weak spots, which allows her to effectively defeat them.

Her unique talent lies in winning their trust, so she can later enjoy watching them unravel.

This film is full of not very nice people.

 

“The Power of the Dog”

“The Power of the Dog,” Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, producers

Trailer:

The Power of the Dog | Official Trailer | Netflix – Bing video

Wiki:

The Power of the Dog (film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

Phil Burbank (Benedict Cumberbatch) is the classic bully.  He likes to pick on those, whom he perceives as weaker than himself.

He enjoys getting the group to laugh at his victims.

It is hinted that he may be homosexual, so he might be motivated to deflect attention off of himself.

In the film, he is unmarried and is annoyed when his brother George (Jesse Plemons) takes a wife.

His all-male environment has now been violated.

I am not sure if he hates women or just feels that he is superior to them.

He makes a mistake, when he begins to torment the medical student son, Peter Gordon (Kodi Smit-McPhee), of his brother’s new bride.

Her son witnessed his father’s death, so he is a little messed up emotionally.

Peter may also be on his way to becoming a socio-psychopath himself.

What is so heart-breaking is that Phil at one point, is deceived that Peter may actually care about him.

This reminds me of the characters in “Nightmare Alley”, where the socio-psychopath trumps the bully.

I actually felt sorry for Phil, when his last gesture is trying to give Peter the rope that he made for him.  (This scene is heart wrenching.)

 

“West Side Story”

“West Side Story,” Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, producers

Trailer:

WEST SIDE STORY Trailer 2 (2021) – Bing video

Wiki:

West Side Story (2021 film) – Wikipedia

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

Street gangs are also a form of bullying; one group of people are pitted against another for supremacy.

In “West Side Story,” both gangs are formed for self-protection (the Puerto Ricans against the poor white group).

Each have a loyalty code to their own group (their all-male group).

Neither group has any real power, so they resort to bullying women.

This musical is famous for its rape scene.  This is the scene that Rita Moreno got her Oscar for.

In the 1960’s, it was unusual for a woman to fight back, after she is nearly raped.

In this 2021 version, it is again, Rita Moreno, as the widow of the shopkeeper, who is also the one who shames the same kids.

She says, “I saw you all grow up, have you become rapists?”

She is also the one who takes in Tony, when he gets out of jail as the former leader of the Jets.

What makes this film so heart-breaking is the fact that Valentina’s (Rita Moreno) kind treatment of Tony, not only proves her level of caring, but it is what has helped him to reform.

Tony has a respect for women, which is what Maria loves about him.

In my opinion, Rita Moreno deserves the Oscar again.

 

Full Oscar Nominations:

Best Picture

“Belfast,” Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas, producers

X – “CODA,” Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, producers

“Don’t Look Up,” Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, producers

“Drive My Car,” Teruhisa Yamamoto, producer

“Dune,” Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter, producers

“King Richard,” Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith, producers

“Licorice Pizza,” Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson, producers

“Nightmare Alley,” Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper, producers

“The Power of the Dog,” Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, producers

“West Side Story,” Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, producers

Best Director

Kenneth Branagh (“Belfast”)

Ryûsuke Hamaguchi (“Drive My Car”)

Paul Thomas Anderson (“Licorice Pizza”)

X – Jane Campion (“The Power of the Dog”)

Steven Spielberg (“West Side Story”)

Best Lead Actor

Javier Bardem (“Being the Ricardos”)

Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Power of the Dog”)

Andrew Garfield (“Tick, Tick … Boom!”)

X – Will Smith (“King Richard”)

Denzel Washington (“The Tragedy of Macbeth”)

Best Lead Actress

X – Jessica Chastain (“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”)

Olivia Colman (“The Lost Daughter”)

Penélope Cruz (“Parallel Mothers”)

Nicole Kidman (“Being the Ricardos”)

Kristen Stewart (“Spencer”)

Best Supporting Actor

Ciarán Hinds (“Belfast”)

X – Troy Kotsur (“CODA”)

Jesse Plemons (“The Power of the Dog”)

J.K. Simmons (“Being the Ricardos”)

Kodi Smit-McPhee (“The Power of the Dog”)

Best Supporting Actress

Jessie Buckley (“The Lost Daughter”)

X – Ariana DeBose (“West Side Story”)

Judi Dench (“Belfast”

Kirsten Dunst (“The Power of the Dog”)

Aunjanue Ellis (“King Richard”)

Best Adapted Screenplay

X – “CODA,” screenplay by Siân Heder

“Drive My Car,” screenplay by Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe

“Dune,” screenplay by Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth

“The Lost Daughter,” written by Maggie Gyllenhaal

“The Power of the Dog,” written by Jane Campion

Best Original Screenplay

X – “Belfast,” written by Kenneth Branagh

“Don’t Look Up,” screenplay by Adam McKay; story by Adam McKay and David Sirota

“King Richard,” written by Zach Baylin

“Licorice Pizza,” written by Paul Thomas Anderson

“The Worst Person in the World,” written by Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

Best Cinematography

X – “Dune,” Greig Fraser

“Nightmare Alley,” Dan Laustsen

“The Power of the Dog,” Ari Wegner

“The Tragedy of Macbeth,” Bruno Delbonnel

“West Side Story,” Janusz Kaminski

Best Animated Feature Film

X – “Encanto,” Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer

“Flee,” Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie

“Luca,” Enrico Casarosa and Andrea Warren

“The Mitchells vs. the Machines,” Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht

“Raya and the Last Dragon,” Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada, Osnat Shurer and Peter Del Vecho

Best Animated Short Film

Affairs of the Art,” Joanna Quinn and Les Mills

“Bestia,” Hugo Covarrubias and Tevo Díaz

“Boxballet,” Anton Dyakov

“Robin Robin,” Dan Ojari and Mikey Please

X – “The Windshield Wiper,” Alberto Mielgo and Leo Sanchez

Best Costume Design

X – “Cruella,” Jenny Beavan

“Cyrano,” Massimo Cantini Parrini and Jacqueline Durran

“Dune,” Jacqueline West and Robert Morgan

“Nightmare Alley,” Luis Sequeira

“West Side Story,” Paul Tazewell

Best Original Score

“Don’t Look Up,” Nicholas Britell

X – “Dune,” Hans Zimmer

“Encanto,” Germaine Franco

“Parallel Mothers,” Alberto Iglesias

“The Power of the Dog,” Jonny Greenwood

Best Sound

Belfast,” Denise Yarde, Simon Chase, James Mather and Niv Adiri

X – “Dune,” Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett

“No Time to Die,” Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor

“The Power of the Dog,” Richard Flynn, Robert Mackenzie and Tara Webb

“West Side Story,” Tod A. Maitland, Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson and Shawn Murphy

Best Original Song

“Be Alive” from “King Richard,” music and lyric by Dixson and Beyoncé Knowles-Carter

“Dos Oruguitas” from “Encanto,” music and lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

“Down To Joy” from “Belfast,” music and lyric by Van Morrison

X – “No Time To Die” from “No Time to Die,” music and lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell

“Somehow You Do” from “Four Good Days,” music and lyric by Diane Warren

Best Documentary Feature

“Ascension,” Jessica Kingdon, Kira Simon-Kennedy and Nathan Truesdell

“Attica,” Stanley Nelson and Traci A. Curry

“Flee,” Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie

X – “Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised),” Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein

“Writing With Fire,” Rintu Thomas and Sushmit Ghosh

Best Documentary Short Subject

“Audible,” Matt Ogens and Geoff McLean

“Lead Me Home,” Pedro Kos and Jon Shenk

X – “The Queen of Basketball,” Ben Proudfoot

“Three Songs for Benazir,” Elizabeth Mirzaei and Gulistan Mirzaei

“When We Were Bullies,” Jay Rosenblatt

Best Film Editing

“Don’t Look Up,” Hank Corwin

X – “Dune,” Joe Walker

“King Richard”, Pamela Martin

“The Power of the Dog,” Peter Sciberras

“Tick, Tick…Boom!” Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum

Best International Feature Film

X – “Drive My Car” (Japan)

“Flee” (Denmark)

“The Hand of God” (Italy)

“Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom” (Bhutan)

“The Worst Person in the World” (Norway)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

“Coming 2 America,” Mike Marino, Stacey Morris and Carla Farmer

“Cruella,” Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon

“Dune,” Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr

X – “The Eyes of Tammy Faye,” Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh

“House of Gucci,” Göran Lundström, Anna Carin Lock and Frederic Aspiras

Best Production Design

X – “Dune,” production design: Patrice Vermette; set decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos

“Nightmare Alley,” production design: Tamara Deverell; set decoration: Shane Vieau

“The Power of the Dog,” production design: Grant Major; set decoration: Amber Richards

“The Tragedy of Macbeth,” production design: Stefan Dechant; set decoration: Nancy Haigh

“West Side Story,” production design: Adam Stockhausen; set decoration: Rena DeAngelo

Best Visual Effects

X – “Dune,” Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer

“Free Guy,” Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick

“No Time to Die,” Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould

“Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings,” Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver

“Spider-Man: No Way Home,” Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick

Best Live Action Short Film

“Ala Kachuu – Take and Run,” Maria Brendle and Nadine Lüchinger

“The Dress,” Tadeusz Łysiak and Maciej Ślesicki

X – “The Long Goodbye,” Aneil Karia and Riz Ahmed

“On My Mind,” Martin Strange-Hansen and Kim Magnusson

“Please Hold,” K.D. Dávila and Levin Menekse

3/26/2022 # 2022 Oscar Predictions

2020 Oscar Predictions

BEST PICTURE

Film Reviews by Marlene Ardoin

Should Win: “Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood”

 Will Win: “1917”

 Did Win: “Parasite

“Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood” represents the modern values of taking responsibility for ones actions, being loyal to ones friends, protecting innocence, and the concept of living from the heart and giving from the heart.  Tarantino is brilliant at portraying the Los Angeles vibe of that era. Any form of freeloading gets burnt to a crisp with a flame thrower.  I loved that Sharon Tate survives in this completely original ending.

1917” In this film, I think they were going for the nobility of soldiers, which is depicted, but it also shows the futility of war.  It is a well-illustrated story in which the Germans are depicted as vicious, drunken, and savage, which is one-sided and not totally true.  I am sure that both sides could be described in both ways. None of these qualities can be reserved for any one race.  Let’s not be Nazis.

“Ford v Ferrari” is a sad story of sabotage, where a hardworking, everyman mechanic/driver is pitted against a fancy pants executive, who sabotages his moment of glory that was rightfully earned. This film was too depressing for me.

“The Irishman”, unfortunately, was one of those Netflix movies that I did not get a chance to see.  It does have some “A” actors in it. These films need to be offered in the theaters longer. Not everyone can afford a Netflix subscription. I did not rush to see it, because it did not sound like a very inspiring story.

Jojo Rabbit” is another depressing holocaust story, in which humor cannot save.  The shot of the little boy’s mother hanging in the Square without her head visible, just her recognizable shoes, took all the humor out of this story for me.

Joker” Who needs to see a story about a textbook narcissist, who is completely devoid of empathy for others.  He clearly hates women, who try to help him, and he has no sense of humor about himself.  His mother’s only fault was that she was poor and she raised a narcissist son, who was angry and destructive.  I found this film to be on the misogynistic side.

“Little Women” This was a take on a family that is comprised of all women, since their absent father is a pastor in the American Civil War.  Jo was the brightest of the sisters, who is taking her missing father’s place as the family provider and caretaker.  Sister Amy is the little sister who wants everything that Jo has, which was sabotaging and irritating.  Something tells me that the true story was not so neatly wrapped up with such a happy ending.

Marriage Story” This is what happens when you marry a narcissist or two narcissists marry each other. Each one keeps trying to out narcissist the other.  In this case, the wife wins. I thought it was an interesting insight that she married him, because she wanted to be him, a theatrical director.  A very knockdown, drag out story. Adam Driver’s take on the husband is like a deer looking in the headlights.

Parasite” A very clever, original, depressing story of the haves and the haves-not. The haves-not destroy a perfectly nice family, who have not done anything to provoke such criminal retaliation. The moral of the story is: if we cannot have the good life, no one can.

2/8/2020 # 2020 Oscar Predictions

2019 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

Oscar Predictions by Marlene Ardoin

BEST PICTURE

Who did win: Green Book

Who will win: Roma

Who should win: Bohemian Rhapsody (Graham King, Producer)

“Bohemian Rhapsody” has heart and shows the triumph of the human spirit. The real Freddie Mercury was magnificent and this film captures that feeling. This film tells the truth in a compassionate way. Director, Graham King, has good reason to be proud of this film.

Other contenders:

Vice (Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, Producers)

This is my second choice. “Vice” is very informative, if crass. And it does reveal the redeeming qualities in Vice President Cheney. He mastered playing the power game under the radar, because he did not want the media to dig up the fact that his daughter, whom he loved and supported, was gay. In this film, Cheney plays the game, until the time is right to reveal all his winning cards. His wife and her mother, did not have that opportunity. Sexism was at its height during the era depicted, but at least Cheney was not the total cad that I thought he was. His virtue was loyalty and devotion to his family.

A Star Is Born (Bill Gerber, Bradley Cooper and Lynette Howell Taylor, Producers)

How does the actor die in the first version? One of the versions has a car crash, not suicide. I don’t remember, but somehow the alcoholism was easier for me to take, than in this film. This film shows the mean side of alcoholism. The cold turkey self-destruction in this film made it unwatchable for me. Lady Gaga’s character comes off as caring, but unbelievable. Was she blind? This man is spiraling onto the edge of self-destruction, while she is spiraling up, up and away with her career. In other versions of this film, the actress at least tries to bolster up her man, and to provide opportunities for him to succeed, but his pride does him in. In this film, the relationships look parasitic and cruel. Singing his favorite song does not make this all better. This is another film that I never want to see again.

Black Panther (Kevin Feige, Producer)

The first Black superhero is a start. “Black Panther” invites Blacks to be loyal and to raise each other up, but it does not unify all. It is “us” versus “them” mentality. It is possible to be high tech, but not moral, as the film illustrates. I just wish superiority was judged by something other than physical prowess. Too many fight scenes for me. It begged for a new definition of moral leadership, without having to win in a physical fight. This film pushes the needle of cause and effect, but seems to blame the older generation for all the bad karma.

BlacKkKlansman (Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Raymond Mansfield, Jordan Peele and Spike Lee, Producers)

This film is not going to convert any KKK members to step down from that mindset. If anything, it will antagonize them. No one likes to be a fool, or to be made fun of. This is racism against whites.

The Favourite (Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday and Yorgos Lanthimos, Producers)

This is sexism in the extreme, from the very first image of a female being pushed from a carriage into the mud, to the last moment, when she is rubbing the queen’s legs. Does it give a fair examination of the queen’s reign? No. It lacks compassion and insight. How did this film ever get on the list? It seems to revel in making women look ridiculous. The lavish set and costumes are the only things that are working for it.

Roma (Gabriela Rodriguez and Alfonso Cuaron, Producers)

Maybe I just do not get the Mexican culture, but this film was painfully slow. The doctor/husband dumps his wife of many years, and many children, for a younger, friskier woman. Shallow, self-absorbed sexism at best. Their maid doesn’t do any better. The story telling strips all loyalty, caring, and beauty from male and female relationships. It is made into something that is soulless, dirty and bestial. The women seem to just accept this as normal, since they are totally trapped by their monetary dependency on men. The maid gets pregnant with someone who just wants to make babies, not take responsibility for them, because he is poor? Poor excuse. The women in this film come off as noble and dumb. The wife, at least, has a moral compass, as she tries to care for the children, her mother and the maid, as best she can. She, at least, is capable of expressing love and caring. I really do not want to sit through this film again.

Green Book (Jim Burke, Charles B. Wessler, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga, Producers)

Dr. Don Shirley was a worthy subject, but the film makers were hell bent on making the driver into some kind of hero figure, when it should have been the other way around. The writers did not bother to look up the facts or to consult the Shirley family to get the facts, before making this film. Dr. Don Shirley was a piano prodigy and a civil rights activist, who would retreat into academia for support. There was no proof that he was gay. He was, however, very brave to do a piano recital in the South, when he did. He was braver than the driver. The film does not reveal Shirley’s connection to Martin Luther King, Jr. Hopefully, someone else will do a proper remake of this film.

BEST DIRECTOR

Who did win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)

Who will win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)

Who should win: Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) or Adam McKay (Vice)

I am split between “Blackkklansman” and “Vice.” Spike Lee is due for some recognition, but I think “Vice” was more complex, and had greater acting challenges that were pulled off successfully. The characters of Dick Cheney, George W. Bush, Condoleezza Rice and Colin Powell and Donald Rumsfeld characters were all outstanding. “Vice” brings insight and empathy to a fairly unlikeable main character. As a whole, “Vice was more thought provoking and moving. “Blackkklansman” was more like a high school prank. The terror of the situation was not quite realized. The insight and motivation of the Klan was not realized. This was a missed opportunity to understand and to heal our country, and the world, of an internal scourge. Spike Lee has been trying for a long time to put a spotlight on this situation. He should have gotten an award a long time ago for “Do the Right Thing.”

Other contenders:

Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)

The world that this director creates is ugly. I have no doubt that was his intension. The situations were devoid of any inspiration, rather, of hopelessness. In a childlike way, the director appears to be putting the mother on a pedestal. All the male characters are cads, and this is not something that money can fix. The women need to be educated, and the men need some kind of moral education. This film was painfully slow, and could not end fast enough.

 

Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite)

This director has a taste for lavish sets and costumes, too bad he appears to hate women. Lanthimos lacks insight into the era, and does not have a clue about what women were up against during that time period. News flash, women are not like men, they do not fight with each other over power positions. This director seems to delight in seeing women in humiliating situations, or better yet, to see them inadvertently maim each other. The director’s lack of insight and compassion regrettably mars this film.

Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War)

This director has a very cold view of the world. The couple in this story are victims of a cold world. They obviously care for each other, but do not have the tools or trust to make their relationship work. The male characters in this film maintain relationships of convenience that are devoid of love. And, the main female character has escaped an abusive family situation, where her trust was permanently destroyed. These lovebirds are doomed from the beginning. There is no moral compass for either of them, no religious training to go by. He does not know how to make her feel safe, and she has no trust in anything or anyone. Even when this couple is given a second chance, they do not have the courage to rely on each other, they are doomed. They love each other, but the world created does not respect love. This film was painful to watch.

BEST ACTRESS

Who did win:  Olivia Colman (The Favourite)

Who will win: Glenn Close (The Wife)

Who should win: Glenn Close (The Wife)

Ms. Close is amazing at expressing silent rage. The fact that her character has a son, whom she loves; the fact that she was not prevented from writing; must have been the reason that she put up with this cad of a husband, as long as she did. Can rage cause heart attacks? Had it not been for a nosy journalist, she may never have been confronted with the truth. Too bad the journalist did not show up sooner.

Other contenders:

Yalitza Aparicio (Roma)

Aparicio has a clean slate, her character as a maid appears to have no family of her own. Where were they, when she gets pregnant? If there is anything to recommend her character, it is the fact that she lives happily in the present moment. She has no insight into male motivation. If he is giving me attention, he must love me. Male ego appears to impress her. In addition to no family, she does not seem to realize that she could get pregnant. Internally, her spirit reacts to her situation, by rejecting the birth. In the end, she is willing to risk her own life for the sake of the children, who love her. The film suggests that she exists on a higher spiritual level, than most people.

Olivia Colman (The Favourite)

I am only guessing, but I presume that she is playing a widow queen, who was trying to sublimate her sexual impulses. She has women fighting over her favor and usurping her power as a queen. What happened to all her children? All seventeen of her children died, twelve of them were stillborn. News flash, women rule differently than men. If given the freedom, they show compassion and consider how things might affect others. It is not Colman’s fault that the director and writer hate women. Her role and acting won’t be getting an Oscar from me. To defend the real Queen Anne, Britain became a major military power on land, the union of England and Scotland created a united kingdom of Great Britain, and the economic and political base for the golden age of the 18th century was established during her reign. She attended more cabinet meetings than any of her predecessors or successors, and presided over an age of artistic, literary, economic and political advancement that was made possible by the stability and prosperity of her reign.

Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)

Gaga’s interpretation of the rising star was too edgy for me. Her character has a father and people rooting for her. She walks off her job, but it comes off as inconsiderate. Sort of like the Jennifer Lopez character in “Second Act.” It is all about me, and if you are having a mental breakdown, don’t bother me, try rehab, instead, because I am too busy becoming a big success. I found her role emotionally cold and the suicide leaves blood on the hands of her character that will not wash off.

Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

 Melissa McCanthy usually chooses roles that have a little more warmth, than this. As you think, so you become. I was turned off by the foul language and extremely bad attitude all the way through the film. I think she has another Academy Award in her, but she really needs to get a better agent. This is a real story becoming her real story.

BEST ACTOR

Who did win:  Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)

Who will win: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)

Who should win: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)

This was the only character in the bunch that I wanted to spend two hours with. Rami does a great job of bringing back Freddie Mercury. We all know the music, but thanks to Malek, we now can empathize with the story, as we get to know the Queens. Mercury picked a really nice group of co-workers. This film, and Malek, make it clear, who cares and who does not.

Other contenders:

Christian Bale (Vice)

This would be my second choice. Bale really does step into the shoes of Dick Cheney. The transformation is impressive, as are all the film’s characterizations. Too bad Cheney was not such a nice person, but Bale does make him relatable. Cheney, as presented, appears to be an under the radar opportunist. His saving grace is his loyalty to his wife and daughters. He has their back and wants the best for them. He is blessed with a strong nuclear family.

Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)

I really wish Bradley Cooper would start to choose roles that are not so embarrassing. He is a handsome guy, so why all the wake up from a stupor, wet my pants in front of an audience roles? He can do much better. He does not have to embarrass himself to get to the Academy Awards.

Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate)

I really like Dafoe, just not in this role. I was uncomfortable with the sensory, poverty stricken, exploitative, opportunistic, crazy, messed up interpretation. But I must say, that I will never look at a Van Gogh painting the same way again. This film suggests that he would do just about anything to satisfy his sexual impulses, maybe even molest kids, which is left up to the audience to decide.

Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)

Although Mortensen does a great job in this role, I really wanted the main character to be Dr. Don Shirley, not the driver. After researching the real Don Shirley, I became disgusted with the driver’s characterization, and the emphasis behind it. The filmmakers made a big mistake by not consulting the Shirley family before making this film.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Who did win:  Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Who will win: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Who Should win: Marina de Tavira (Roma)

Her role is the only female character among the choice range, that I could even half-way recommend as a role model. If her cad of a husband is a wealthy doctor (who appears to love money more than people), she was clearly the CEO of the household, who was taking responsibility for her children, her servants, her mother and keeping the boat from sinking, by spoiling her husband way beyond what he deserves. And, she does it without even a hint of resentment. She appears to have strength of character and resiliency. When another man hits on her, after her husband leaves, she soundly rebuffs the sordid attention. She protects her children’s good opinion of their father by making excuse, after excuse, for his bad behavior. I cannot reward a wife role for being on a pedestal, even if she does appear to have strength of character. She and her mother single-handedly take the members of the household under their wings. However, kindness is not always smart. She pampers a husband, who has no character. I wanted her to tell her no good husband to “grab a shovel, and clean the dog shit off the pavement himself.” If she had done this, it would have raised this role to another level for me.

Other contenders:

Amy Adams (Vice)

Adams portrays the equally opportunistic wife of Cheney. She is his strong right hand in all matters. Too bad she could not rescue her own mother from the abusive hands of her father. Usually, such girls end up marrying the same partners as their fathers, but she lucks out with Cheney. When he falls, she is always right there to pick him up and set him straight. She appears to be living through her husband’s successes. I do not think Cheney made all of those decisions on his own. Adam’s character was clearly his confidant, so she deserves one-half of the blame.

Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

King plays the young, soon to be old, wife of a Black man. Her husband, like many others, will inevitably end up in prison. Her path to marital bliss is very short lived, and the in-laws will always blame her, and not the justice system, for her husband’s imprisonment. Baldwin’s story depicts the life of many Black marriages during the civil rights era. I would have liked the two families to support each other, but that does not happen. Her character gets pregnant, then makes the best of a bad situation. I wanted her to do something more, to bring the families together, to not be a victim, to get her man out of prison, to do something more.

Emma Stone (The Favourite)

Stone made it to the Academy Awards, but at what cost? Why would she agree to go through the motions of so much humiliation? I was not impressed with this as a role model for other young girls.

Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)

Weisz gets the same comments as for Stone. Why, why, why, would you agree to such a role? Humiliation is too tame a word for her character.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Who did win:  Mahershala Ali (Green Book)

Who will win: Mahershala Ali (Green Book)

Who should win: Mahershala Ali (Green Book)

Ali manages to keep his dignity intact, in spite of being downgraded to a supporting role, when he should have been written in as Best Actor. That dignity is maintained in spite of suggestions that Dr. Don Shirley might be gay; he might not like to eat with his fingers; he might not be capable of punching someone in the nose; and he might not be welcome at his own family during the Holidays. These are all false accusations. I am in awe of how he managed to do everything that was asked of him, yet still be the most memorable character in the whole film. I think this was accomplished, because Ali possesses a strong sense of self-worth and inner dignity.

Other contenders:

Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)

Adam Driver plays the white cop, who infiltrates the KKK, who was never in any real danger, because he looks just like them. Here was Driver’s missed chance to shed some light on the thought process and motivation of a Klansman in the making. Even though he was portraying one of the bad guys, he could have garnered some understanding of and empathy for their pathetic state of being. Like it or not, the KKK is a real part of American culture.

Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born)

Elliott plays the long suffering brother of the country singer star, who is having a mid-age crisis. Elliott is always likable in his roles, but here, he utterly fails his brother. To quote a part of this dialogue: “I got to be honest with you, things are easier without you.” Where is the love, the courage and the loyalty here? I cannot reward a character, who just takes the easy path, because it is easy. His brother needed a real friend, who really cared, which might have made a difference, and might have caused there to be a different outcome. His role should have had more meat to it, if it was not all about being easy. This is the filmmaker’s fault, not Elliott’s.

Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

Grant’s character is the epitome of a low level, opportunistic narcissist. It is all about how I look, how I win. He has no real empathy or caring for others. If McCarthy’s character had a bad attitude, Grant’s character was bad to the core. His thought process, “she has an apartment and she has a cat that she loves, how can I exploit that?” His role teaches us how to be better judges of character, and better judges of who we let into our lives. I’ll give him that, but no Oscar.

Sam Rockwell (Vice)

I personally believe that the real George W. Bush became a better leader by the end of his tenure. Rockwell portrays him as some kind of drunken puppet leader, who was okay with Cheney calling all the shots. The real Bush was more sensitive than that, more thoughtful, and more caring, because he had a better wife. I feel that Rockwell’s portrayal is one-dimensional and false. Again, it is the fault of the film makers, not of Rockwell.

2/23/2019 # 2019 Oscar Predictions