2018 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
Film Review by Marlene Ardoin
Best Picture
Will win: The Shape of Water
Should win: The Post
Did win: The Shape of Water
The Shape of Water I was not feeling the love. Too violent and sadistic for me. The Post was the only film in the group that I can really get behind. It has a true, heroic story, in which a woman gets to lead the charge. Meryl Streep really knows how to pick her roles. Call Me by Your Name turned me off. It is not ok to use your employee to test the sexuality of your son. And, it is not ok for your son to use impressionable, young girls to try out his sexuality. Except for the mother, all the other females were made to look hopelessly ridiculous.
Darkest Hour Everything was going great, until we came to where Churchill flashes his privates at his in-home secretary. Were they trying to illustrate the Me Too movement? One thing that I did like about this film was that it spelled out what Dunkirk was all about. Apparently, the whole British army was waiting on the Dunkirk beach. That point was not made clear to me in Dunkirk. The part of me that is half French was turned off by Dunkirk. I went cold when the British turned away the French soldiers from getting on the escape boat. It was obvious that French lives did not matter to them.
Get Out was very creative, but does not help Whites or Blacks like or trust one another. Very paranoid and hurtful story. Lady Bird features the competition between mothers and daughters, where the daughter finally gets to take the high road and forgive her mother. Bad mothers seem to be a theme this year.
Phantom Thread features a weird power struggle in a love relationship, which gets solidified in the marital relationship. This is not helpful in the slightest. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri is one of the bad mother films. I, Tonya features yet another of the daughter sabotaging moms. Why is this so important for filmmakers to point out? No thanks.
Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
*The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lead Actor
Will win: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Should win: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Did win: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
*Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Lead Actress
Will win: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Should win: Meryl Streep, The Post
Did win: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
*Meryl Streep, The Post
Supporting Actress
Will win: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Should win: Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Did win: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
*Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Supporting Actor
Will win: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Should win: Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Did win: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
*Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Call Me By Your Name
Should win: Molly’s Game
Did win: Call Me By Your Name
Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
*Molly’s Game
Mudbound
Logan
Original Screenplay
Will win: Get Out
Should win: The Big Sick
Did win: Get Out
*The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Director
Will win: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Should win: Greta Gerwig,Lady Bird
Did win: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele,Get Out
*Greta Gerwig,Lady Bird
Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
2/25/2018 # 2018 OSCAR PREDICTIONS