2017 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

2017 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

BEST PICTURE

Will win: La La Land

Should win: Hidden Figures

Did win: Moonlight

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land

Lion

Manchester By the Sea

Moonlight

La La Land is most likely to win. It is popular and it is an example of Oscars So White. I have a problem with a theme, where career is all that matters.  The main male character seems to miss the possibility that maybe that child could actually be his. His partner flees, because she knows that his support and commitment to the relationship is not there.  I prefer Hidden figures, which reveals hidden facts about the ’60s and enlightens us about the merits and contributions of Blacks during the space race.  I am shying away from Moonlight, because it has some undertones of misogyny in its portrayal of women.

Arrival explores psychic communication, but does not explain why it is necessary for the linguist to take off her radiation suit?  Fences has dialogue that is more suited for stage, than film, but it does eventually deliver the emotional impact of the situation.  Hacksaw Ridge leaves the image of frightened, screaming soldiers in my mind, but it is inspiring that the main character was real and was successful in rescuing so many soldiers during WWII.  The images of war brutality is so heavy handed that it is easy to become insensitive to it.

Hell or High Water is extremely misogynistic.  I can not feel sorry for men who do not get why it is important to take care of their women and children.  Lion makes it hard for me to forget about what the Australians did to the Aboriginal children for very racist reasons.  A child is always best off with a loving birth family.  And, Manchester By The Sea is a very sad story.  No matter how immature parents may be, rarely do they burn up their children.

BEST DIRECTOR

Will win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Should win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Did win:  Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

BEST ACTOR

Will win: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Should win: Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Did win:  Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea

Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

BEST ACTRESS

Will win: Emma Stone, La La Land

Should win: Natalie Portman, Jackie

Did win:  Emma Stone, La La Land

Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Should win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Did win:  Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester By the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will win: Viola Davis, Fences

Should win: Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea

Did win:  Viola Davis, Fences

Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will win: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea

Should win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Did win:  Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filipou, The Lobster
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
Mike Mills, 20th Century Women
Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Should win: Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi, Hidden Figures

Did win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Luke Davies, Lion
Eric Heisserer, Arrival
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi, Hidden Figures
August Wilson, Fences

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2/22/17  #2017 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

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THE FOUNDER

Ray Kroc (Michael Keaton) negotiates with the McDonald brothers.

THE FOUNDER

Film Review by Marlene Ardoin

After seeing “The Founder”, I understand why Tom Hanks turned down this role. Only Michael Keaton would be able to nail this character.

Ray Kroc (Michael Keaton) is as despicable, as he is admirable.

Keaton is unafraid to try on flawed personalities, like Kay Kroc. This role requires big boy tighty–whities.

I might also add, it takes guts to develop a company like McDonalds, that now feeds about 1% of the world’s population.

In this film, Ray Kroc (Michael Keaton) is at a point in his life, when he is both hungry enough and desperate enough to act on his gut feelings to franchise McDonalds.

“The Founder” is inspiring by the fact that Ray Kroc’s peers were at the retirement stage, while he is still traveling state to state selling milk shake mixers and listening to Napoleon Hill’s “Keys to Success” records in his motel room in the evenings.

Somehow, he sensed that he had not yet fulfilled what he was created to do.

Soft serve was becoming the norm in the fast food industry, so Kroc’s mixers were not selling, except to one diner in San Bernardino, CA, who wanted six of his mixers.

The McDonald brothers were serving real ice cream in their milk shakes.

Richard “Dick” McDonald (Nick Offerman) and his brother, Maurice “Mac” McDonald (John Carroll Lynch), spent years perfecting quick, cheap, quality, family oriented, fast food meals at their take-out diner.

The McDonald brothers did try to franchise their diner, but they did not have the energy, the health, or the will to carry through.

Ray Kroc had seen the competition all over the United States, and he knew a winner when he saw one.

Kroc was not only franchising a method, but a quality product and a name that meant quality.

In sales, trust is a big factor. The customer has to trust you first, before they buy from you.

The McDonalds had that trust. Their name could be trusted.  McDonalds meant quality, honesty, community, family and trust.

Kroc tries to work with the McDonalds in his efforts to franchise their product, but finds that he is doing all the work and taking all the risks.

And, on top of that, success and ego get the better of him.

Kroc ends up with three marriages.

The film leaves out the daughter from his first marriage and the second marriage that he has. The real story gets a little sordid, not as romantic, as the film would have us believe.

Kroc ends up buying out the McDonalds good name after a long period of torturing them first.

I have to agree, McDonalds does sound a lot better than, welcome to the Krocs.

Ray Kroc Biography:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kroc

http://ic.galegroup.com/ic/bic1/ReferenceDetailsPage/ReferenceDetailsWindow?zid=38c2ee89d1919f9df03372691f627ba7&action=2&catId=&documentId=GALE%7CK3436600323&userGroupName=fairfax_main&jsid=e075ae099668deaed5fb362e7ed0684a

http://www.thefamouspeople.com/profiles/ray-kroc-164.php

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2/7/17 # The Founder